Kepler's model has three main ideas. (These are usually presented as "Kepler's three laws of planetary motion," but taking them together, it’s really just a model.)
- Planets orbit the sun in elliptical (not circular) paths.
- As a planet gets closer to the sun, it moves faster.
- The orbital period (T ) is related to the orbital distance (a) by the expression T 2 = a 3 (where T is measured in years and a is measured in units of the Earth-sun distance).
A couple of comments: First, this model is just based on the observational evidence available at the time—but it fit the data quite well. That was no easy task. Imagine just trying to plot the orbits of the planets. You’d do that by observing their location in the sky over the course of years. But then you had to account for the fact that the spot you were measuring from was also spinning through space.
There is another important thing to notice. The relationship between period and orbital distance gives a "1 = 1" equation for Earth. It takes Earth one year to orbit the sun, and it has an orbital distance of 1 AU (astronomical unit—distance from Earth to sun). It wasn't until much later that someone was able to actually determine the distance from Earth to the sun. This is crazy if you think about it.
“NIWA depends on the Unified Model for its forecasting and predictions of New Zealand’s weather and climate and it will be more critical for us in the future as we adapt to a changing climate.” Dr Dean says the Unified Model provides a platform for collaboration that enables development beyond what would be possible by a single organisation.
Just so we’re all on the same page, here is a numerical model using Kepler's laws for some random planet orbiting the sun. It's just a gif below, but here is the code if you want to see it.
This is the best model of planetary motion we had before Newton. And, really, it's a fine model. You could even use it to find some new object orbiting the sun or to model the motion of a comet. But could it be more general? Is there a more fundamental model that could explain both the motion of a planet orbiting the sun and the motion of the moon orbiting Earth? Maybe even one that could also explain the motion of an apple falling from a tree?