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Once-promising treatments and vaccines hit roadblocksTwo weeks ago, President Trump was given a dose of an experimental antibody cocktail that he later claimed “cured” him of Covid-19. Two companies that manufacture versions of the drug—Regeneron and Eli Lilly—each applied for an emergency authorization from the FDA soon after. Prior therapies authorized by the FDA were all for use by people already in the hospital, but this one is administered right after diagnosis. For this reason and others, it shows promise, but data on the drug is still limited. Then, on Tuesday, Eli Lilly halted its Phase III drug trials due to unspecified potential safety concerns. While this may seem like bad news, it’s important to remember that pauses are an important and necessary part of the clinical trial process.
In addition to Eli Lilly, Johnson & Johnson also paused a Phase III trial this week for its coronavirus vaccine after one participant reported an adverse event. The break will give the data and safety monitoring board ample time to investigate what happened before pressing ahead with the trial. Meanwhile, a massive international trial investigating the efficacy of Remdesivir, the only authorized Covid-19 treatment in the US, found that the drug does not prevent Covid-19 deaths. That said, this doesn’t necessarily mean that the drug can’t benefit people earlier in the course of their illness. The data, which were part of a study sponsored by the WHO, were posted online yesterday but have not yet been peer reviewed or published in a journal.
The US continues with a decentralized approach as virus cases riseIn the last week, cases have risen in 35 states across the US, with 14 reporting their peak seven-day average on Thursday. Despite the national trend, US responses to the coronavirus continue to be decentralized, and states are left to make many of their own decisions about how to stop the spread of the virus. In New York City, for example, officials recently implemented targeted lockdowns in areas with rising case rates. While such a hyperlocal approach makes a lot of sense, the fact remains that the boundaries between city neighborhoods are porous at best.
Haller believes in vaccines, which is why he volunteered to test three different influenza vaccines that weren’t yet approved by the Food and Drug Administration—including against H7N9, a strain of influenza seen as a plausible source of the next pandemic.“I know how much misery they prevent in the world,” says Haller, an associate professor of pediatrics at Saint Louis University School of Medicine.
When a vaccine is ready, its distribution will likely be just as decentralized as other public health measures taken over the last eight months. In mid-September the CDC released a playbook laying out what states should be doing now to prepare for a vaccine. The states’ first versions of their plans are due back to the CDC today. But they have to submit these plans without knowing when the vaccine will arrive or how many doses they’ll receive. And the CDC guidelines still leave many decisions up to the states, like deciding who gets a vaccine first. All of this means we could be looking at a different rollout strategy in every state.
The preexisting conditions of the coronavirus pandemicA massive new accounting of the health of people around the world found that the health of people in the US—especially if you’re poor or not white—lags behind other rich countries. The diseases and disorders that marginalized Americans are most likely to have are the same comorbidities that can make Covid-19 severe or fatal. This isn’t the case in countries with better social and medical safety nets. ”Some researchers have described Covid-19 as not a pandemic but a ‘syndemic,’” WIRED’s Adam Rogers writes, “a synergistic epidemic of related, overlapping problems, each one making the others worse.”