As the Arctic Warms, AI Forecasts Scope Out Shifting Sea Ice

As the Arctic Warms, AI Forecasts Scope Out Shifting Sea Ice

While AI also requires complex data and a lot of initial computing power, once an algorithm is trained on the right amount and kind of data, it can detect patterns in climate conditions more quickly than physics-based models, according to Thomas Anderson, a data scientist at the British Antarctic Survey who developed an AI ice forecast called IceNet.

Wet, warm, cold, dry – the holidays with a bit of everything

Wet, warm, cold, dry – the holidays with a bit of everything

But before heading off to the bach, beach, or boat, here’s five things you should know about regarding the 2020 Christmas climate, according to NIWA forecaster Ben Noll: The wet — although the Christmas/New Year period will feature plenty of dry weather, Christmas Eve will be an exception.

2020 in top 10 warmest years for New Zealand

2020 in top 10 warmest years for New Zealand

Forecaster Ben Noll says that if that remains the same, then this year would be the 7th warmest on record for New Zealand,.Mr Noll says a variable January and cooler March this year is what will most likely keep New Zealand out of the top five.

An Election Forecaster Reflects: We Have Too Many Polls

An Election Forecaster Reflects: We Have Too Many Polls

If you’d just copied the 2016 results, you would have had a Republican victory, and as of Thursday it looks like Joe Biden won the presidential election with victories in many key states and a slightly higher share of the national vote than Hillary Clinton received four years ago.

A Drop in Commercial Flights Is Bad for Hurricane Forecasts

A Drop in Commercial Flights Is Bad for Hurricane Forecasts

These algorithms, which capture the physics of cloud formation, tropical storms, and polar winds, among other things, are then populated with temperature data from satellites and surface observations to generate a three- or 10-day forecast.

Fieldays Weather 2019: a mix of rain, sun, fog and fun

Fieldays Weather 2019: a mix of rain, sun, fog and fun

Forecaster Ben Noll says Fieldays 2019 shouldn’t be a washout, with a few showers likely on the Wednesday and Saturday, and fine weather for Thursday and Friday, albeit with possible morning fog.

Seasonal records set to fall like autumn leaves

Seasonal records set to fall like autumn leaves

With just a few days of autumn left, prolonged warm weather and less rain than normal means some spots across New Zealand are heading for the record books. • Taupo – on track for 2nd warmest Autumn – records began 1949.

Emirates Team New Zealand seek NIWA’s technical edge

Emirates Team New Zealand seek NIWA’s technical edge

“Weather is such a vital element of a successful America’s Cup campaign,” said Emirates Team New Zealand CEO Grant Dalton.

Easter forecast

Easter forecast

Increasing chances for showers or rain in the North Island, except the east, showery and cooler in the South Island. Rain or showers likely continuing in the North Island, improving conditions in the South Island.

International climate experts gather in Wellington

International climate experts gather in Wellington

“NIWA depends on the Unified Model for its forecasting and predictions of New Zealand’s weather and climate and it will be more critical for us in the future as we adapt to a changing climate.” Dr Dean says the Unified Model provides a platform for collaboration that enables development beyond what would be possible by a single organisation.

The Government's New Weather Model Faces a Storm of Protest

The Government's New Weather Model Faces a Storm of Protest

For the past few weeks, the National Weather Service has been forecasting snowfall that ends up disappearing, according to Doug Kammerer, chief meteorologist at WRC-TV in Washington, DC.

Why hurricane forecasters can’t ‘politicize’ storm warnings even if they wanted to

Why hurricane forecasters can’t ‘politicize’ storm warnings even if they wanted to

In 2016 conservative news blogger Matt Drudge accused the federal government of hyping the threat as Hurricane Matthew approached the U.S. coast, purportedly to play up possible links between extreme weather and climate change.

Hurricane Florence: Your Forecasting and Climate Questions Answered

Hurricane Florence: Your Forecasting and Climate Questions Answered

As for fatalities, the deadliest storm on record in the United States happened in 1900, when surging waters killed more than 6,000 people in Galveston, Tex. This was before modern weather forecasting, however, and many people failed to evacuate the area.How is climate change influencing Hurricane Florence and hurricanes more generally?NOAA says to think of warm water as the engine that fuels hurricanes.

Climate models predict the world will be ‘anomalously warm’ until 2022

Climate models predict the world will be ‘anomalously warm’ until 2022

Our work, published in Nature Communications, is important as such forecasts help predict the chances of events like heatwaves or cold snaps months in advance, and it is now well established that anomalous climatic events have a direct human impact.

UK weather warning: World to experience EXTREME heat for next FOUR YEARS

UK weather warning: World to experience EXTREME heat for next FOUR YEARS

UK weather warning: World to experience EXTREME heat for next FOUR YEARS SCORCHING heatwaves like the one we have just experienced will be with us annually for the next four years at least, scientists have warned.