An Election Forecaster Reflects: We Have Too Many Polls

An Election Forecaster Reflects: We Have Too Many Polls

If you’d just copied the 2016 results, you would have had a Republican victory, and as of Thursday it looks like Joe Biden won the presidential election with victories in many key states and a slightly higher share of the national vote than Hillary Clinton received four years ago.

So How Wrong Were the Polls This Year, Really?

So How Wrong Were the Polls This Year, Really?

The results hinge on a handful of swing states that may not finish counting votes until the end of the week; in the Rust Belt, Trump’s early leads look to be morphing into narrow Biden victories as absentee ballots get counted.

OK, You've Just Won the Election. Now Fix Covid

OK, You've Just Won the Election. Now Fix Covid

When I asked a well-placed and concerned Republican strategist why the Trump administration had not used the DPA more aggressively in the spring, this person told me that doing so would have been seen as a big government solution, which runs against long-established principles of the American conservative movement.

Gen Z Has a Plan to Save the Election—Starting With the Polls

Gen Z Has a Plan to Save the Election—Starting With the Polls

On July 1, Marlbrough, now 22 years old and a recent college graduate, launched the Georgia Youth Poll Worker Project, with the goal of recruiting at least 1,000 young people to staff polling sites in the general election.

Georgia’s Failure Shows How Not to Run an Election in the Pandemic

Georgia’s Failure Shows How Not to Run an Election in the Pandemic

Here’s how in-person voting should look during the coronavirus pandemic: lots of polling places, fully staffed with well-protected election workers, each serving small numbers of voters who are able to quickly get in and out without having to congregate at length in close quarters.

Is the Split Over Covid-19 Really About Politics?

Is the Split Over Covid-19 Really About Politics?

(Witness House Republican Devin Nunes telling Fox Business viewers on Sunday that “it’s a great time to just go out, go to a local restaurant.”) According to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, only 40 percent of Republicans believe the coronavirus is “a real threat,” compared to 76 percent of Democrats.

We Might Be Reaching 'Peak Indifference' on Climate Change

We Might Be Reaching 'Peak Indifference' on Climate Change

In his new book The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming , the writer David Wallace-­Wells talks about the value of panic to pushing collective action; Doctorow says it’s the point “where you divert your energy from convincing people there’s a problem to convincing them there’s a solution.”.